Saturday, September 11, 2010
2010 Sunday Brunch: Week Two
Friday, September 10, 2010
Friday's Quick Slant: Picking some big Saturday Games
Michigan @ Notre Dame: Yeah, yeah, Brian Kelly's trying to wake up the echoes and Rich Rodriguez might have found a quarterback. The Irish fought off a rally by Purdue and the Wolverines christened the newly expanded Big House by demolishing UConn.
There is a significant chance of rain in the forecast, and with that in mind, I think Michigan might be better suited to win a game in sloppy weather. Even so, it has the makings of a shootout, and I like the Wolverines to win 38-35.
Flordia State @ Oklahoma: A rematch of the title game for the 2000 season, which Oklahoma won 13-2. Bob Stoops is still there, but Bobby Bowden is gone from the Florida State sidelines. Oklahoma survived a bit of a scare from Utah State (!) 31-24 last week while Florida State blasted Samford.
Oklahoma needs to get more out of Landry Jones, who looked like he was a first time starter against the Aggies from Logan, Utah. Jones needs to step up to keep Florida State from trying to stack the box. Also needing to step up is the Oklahoma secondary, who got three interceptions off of Diondre Borel but still gave up 341 yards passing. Christian Ponder is a very good quarterback, so the Sooners might have their work cut out for them.
But while it has been hard to call Stoops "Big Game Bob" any more, I don't see the Sooners losing this game at home. Even with trying to put 8 in the box to slow down the OU running game, I think DeMarco Murray has his way with the Seminoles. Ponder will make it interesting on his side, but I see at 30-27 type game won by OU.
Penn State @ Alabama: For the history, of course. (This game is a rematch of the 1979 Sugar Bowl, which decided the 1978 National Championship.) Because even though Mark Ingram is out for this game, Alabama won't need him. Penn State true freshman Robert Bolden looked good in his first game, but he was playing Youngstown State, and it still took the Nittany Lions a long time to get going in that game. There won't be a miraculous comeback against the Alabama defense in Tuscaloosa. Defensive coordinator Kirby Smart and Nick Saban will dial up lots of different looks to confuse young mister Bolden. If he can get out of there in one piece it will be a small miracle.
The Lions will go down hard, 31-14.
Miami (FL) @ Ohio State: Yet another championship game rematch (this time the 2002 regular season title), although the players involved in that controversial game are long gone. Since that game, Miami has been through some dark times but appears to have turned a corner under Randy Shannon, and expectations are high for this group. Led by flamboyant quarterback Jacory Harris, the swagger appears to have returned to "the U."
Meanwhile, business has continued as usual for the Buckeyes under Jim Tressel, as Ohio State has dominated the Big Ten but came up short in a couple of national title games and other big games until last year's run. Terrelle Pryor, Ohio State's potential Heisman candidate quarterback, still has a lot to prove, but if he can have a big game against the 'Canes, it would help elevate him.
Harris is the better pure quarterback, but Pryor is a dual-threat who is becoming better as a pocket passer. Both quarterbacks have talented backs and receivers around them. It's going to come down to the defenses and who winds up making a mistake. Even though Ohio State has lost the last two big non-conference games at home (USC, Texas), I think that the run from late last season will carry over here and the Buckeyes win a close one late, 24-21
Wednesday, September 8, 2010
Wednesday Quick Slant: Reggie Bush's Heisman
Well, it turned out to not be a slap on the wrist, and the NCAA threw a midsized book at USC, forcing the Trojans to essentially disavow any knowledge of Reggie Bush. This included removing his trophies and memorabilia from display at Heritage Hall and also led new athletic director Pat Haden to return the copy of the Heisman Trophy back to the Heisman Trust.
Earlier this week Yahoo! Sports (who initially broke the Reggie Bush story) reported that the Heisman Trust was going to revoke the award from Bush and ask for the trophy back. The Heisman Trust has since denied the veracity of the report.
There are quite a few folks who think that if the Heisman Trust does revoke the trophy that they are making a grave mistake. It's another case of hypocrisy against the trodden-on revenue generating athlete, and all Bush did was take a car and a rent free, six figure house for his parents. It's not like he ran a counterfiting operation (Billy Cannon) or committed a convoluted armed robbery in a Las Vegas hotel/casino (O.J. Simpson) or was a deadbeat dad (Billy Sims).
We can address whether intercollegiate athletes should be paid or not at another time, but for me, it's a simple issue:
Reggie Bush was ruled ineligible for the 2005 season by the NCAA. Which means, to me, that he shouldn't have been on the field. If he was not supposed to be on the field, then he shouldn't be allowed to retain a trophy that was acquired during a time of ineligibility.
Because while there are plenty of Heisman winners that performed questionably after their playing days were over, and while there are past Heisman winners who have received extra benefits, only one was caught and declared ineligible, from what I can gather.
That was Reggie Bush.
Is it piling on? Perhaps.
But taking back the Heisman, to me, is the only move.
Tuesday, September 7, 2010
The Boise State Conundrum
I was wrong about last night on a variety of levels. I was wrong about it being a low scoring game, and I was wrong about Bosie State losing.
It's not because I don't like Boise State; I actually root for the Broncos because I think it might create the chaos necessary to get the ball rolling towards a playoff.
Yes, I am a playoff proponent, in part because it's nonsensical that in this day and age, when every other NCAA sport has a playoff that decides the champion, the participants in the national title game of the lead sport in college are picked by coaches, people formerly associated with the game, and a byzantine computer algorithm.
I am the kind of person who looks to the past to try and understand the present. How did we get here, etc. What I wanted to look at with regards to Boise State is how did we get here.
We all know about Boise State's impressive run through the WAC; they have won or shared tthe league title all but two years since joining it in 2001 (2001 and 2007 when Louisiana Tech and Hawai'i won it, respectively). Not only that, but outside of 2005' split title with Nevada, Boise State has gone undefeated every year it's won the WAC.
The WAC has been in a state of flux all of that time due to the comings and goings of teams and the reshuffling that took place due to the ACC expansion in 2004. What I wanted to focus on today was how Boise State has done in the part of the schedule that they have been able to control historically (to some degree). I wanted to see how the Broncos have fared in the non-conference portion of their schedule since joining the WAC in 2001.
So to the history books and the dusty parts of the interwebs where such data resides. I'd like to thank College Football Data Warehouse for providing me with the schedules for Boise State.
For this, I'll list the home games in blue and road games in red. Bowl games and neutral site games are listed in black. This includes the games through last night. (And yes, last night was considered a neutral site, even if it was a de facto home game for Virginia Tech. )
Rankings for opponents are from the coaches poll and reflect the team's rankings at the time of the game. Opponent's home conference in parentheses.
2001 (non-conference record: 2-2)
@ #21 South Carolina: L 13-32 (SEC)
Washington State: L 20-41 (Pac-10)
@ Idaho: W 45-13 (Sunbelt)
Central Michigan: W 26-10 (MAC)
2002 (4-1)
Idaho: W 38-21 (Sunbelt)
@Arkansas: L 14-41 (SEC)
@ Wyoming: W 35-13 (MWC)
Utah State: W 63-38 (Sunbelt)
Iowa State: W 34-16 in Humanitarian Bowl (Big 12)
2003 (4-1)
Idaho State: W 63-0 (I-AA)
@Idaho: W 24-10 (Sunbelt)
@Oregon State: L 24-26 (Pac-1o)
Wyoming: W 33-17 (MWC)
#19 TCU: W 34-31 in Fort Worth Bowl (C-USA)
2004 (3-1)
Idaho: W 65-7 (Sunbelt)
Oregon State: W 30-27 (Pac-10)
BYU: W 28-27 (MWC)
#8 Louisville: L 41-44 in Liberty Bowl (C-USA)
2005 (2-3)
@ #13 Georgia: L 13-48 (SEC)
@Oregon State: L 27-30 (Pac-10)
Bowling Green: W 48-20 (MAC)
Portland State: W 21-14 (I-AA)
#19 Boston College: L 21-27 in MPC Computers Bowl (ACC)
2006 (5-0)
Sacramento State: W 45-0 (I-AA)
Oregon State: W 42-14 (Pac-10)
@Wyoming: W 17-10 (MWC)
@Utah: W 36-3 (MWC)
#10 Oklahoma: W 43-42 in OT in Fiesta Bowl (Big 12)
2007 (3-2)
Weber State: W 56-7 (I-AA)
@Washington: L 10-24 (Pac-10)
Wyoming: W 24-14 (MWC)
Southern Mississippi: W 38-16 (C-USA)
East Carolina: L 38-41 in Hawai'i Bowl (C-USA)
2008 (4-1)
Idaho State: W 49-7 (I-AA)
Bowling Green: W 20-7 (MAC)
@ #12 Oregon: W 37-32 (Pac-10)
@Southern Mississippi: W 24-7 (C-USA)
#11 TCU: L 16-17 in SDCCU Poinsettia Bowl (MWC)
2009 (6-0)
#14 Oregon: W 19-8 (Pac-10)
Miami (OH): W 48-0 (MAC)
@Bowling Green: W 49-14 (MAC)
UC Davis: W 34-16 (I-AA)
@ Tulsa: W 28-21 (C-USA)
#3 TCU: W 17-10 in Fiesta Bowl (MWC)
2010 (1-0)
#6 Virginia Tech: W 33-30 in neutral site in Landover, MD (ACC)
So, for the record, since 2001:
Non-conference: 34-11 (including bowl games)
Bowl games: 4-4
BCS bowl games: 2-0
Vs. BCS conference schools: 7-8
vs. TCU: 2-1
vs. BYU: 1-0
vs. Utah: 1-0
vs. SEC: 0-3 (all on the road)
vs. Top-25 opponents: 6-5 (but on a 5-1 streak since playing Oklahoma in Fiesta Bowl)
It's not like this program is a flash in the pan. The Broncos have been steadily building themselves for the better part of a decade. Dan Hawkins started the job, but the program has hit another gear since Chris Petersen took over before the 2006 season, when the Broncos really started to become a national name.
What has some hands wringing already, though, is now that the Broncos have cleared the early season hurdle (although Oregon State still comes to the blue turf in two weeks) of a top-10 opponent, how far/how high will Boise State rise. They were moved up from number five to number three in the coaches poll released today, but we won't get the Harris Poll results for another couple of weeks, and the BCS standings sometime in late October.
When some more games get played and some things shake out, I don't see the Broncos being higher than number three in the BCS standings if Ohio State and Alabama handle their business. The albatross that is the weekly WAC power rating (and I think a couple of losses) will keep Boise State from Glendale.
Then again, stranger seasons have occurred recently....
Tuesday's Quick Slant: Get on the bus?
I'm still going to wait to see if the Broncos can navigate some late season traps. Even though I was wrong about last night, I don't think it's a cakewalk for the Broncos at this point to head to the BCS title game.
Let's see when the Harris Poll comes out in October and how much they get penalized for the WAC strength of schedule - unless the WAC is miraculously going to beat up on all of their non-conference opponents.
Sunday, September 5, 2010
Monday's Quick Slant: A glance at Virginia Tech-Boise State
Saturday, September 4, 2010
2010 Sunday Brunch: Week One
Wednesday, September 1, 2010
Wednesday's Quick Slant: It's All About the "Y"
Further proof that the mtn., a television network for the Mountain West Conference, was a big mistake.
Let me clarify that: It wasn't a mistake to create a television network for the conference, as the Big Ten has proved that a television network dedicated to one conference can be successful.
The debacle with regards to the mtn. is that it was poorly thought out and executed, and the inflexibility of either Comcast/CBS Sports or MWC commissioner Craig Thompson to renegotiate the deal or try to change parameters of coverage and exposure has led Utah to the Pac-10 (12) and BYU out the door as well.
Not that the people who actually broadcast game aren't good or don't work hard; this has nothing to do with on-camera or off-camera talent.
This is focused on the management, plain and simple.
It took well over a year for the mtn. to become available here in the Las Vegas Valley and in parts of San Diego (because the mtn. was not available on Cox). Hell, if you are in a place that carries Time Warner Cable (parts of San Diego County, for example), you still can't get the mtn.
TCU has emerged as a crown jewel of the conference in football, receiving a BCS bowl bid last season, but it's hard to find them in Dallas-Fort Worth on Versus and CBS College Sports. the mtn. also isn't available in Dallas-Forth Worth and it doesn't look like it will be anytime soon.
Heck, in 2007 BYU and Utah even went so far as to retain lawyers to look at the contract to see what could be done because they were not getting the exposure promised.
So is it any wonder that those two school and their rabid fan bases decided to leave for greener pastures?
Utah found a suitor in the Pac-10.
BYU is going it alone for football, although they found a partner in ESPN, who agreed to an eight year deal to broadcast BYU home games and also is allowing BYU-TV to rebroadcast the games on the same day as the initial airing.
That is a significant deal.
And while the WAC is crippled by the machinations of the Mountain West a couple of weeks ago when this story first started to evolve, WAC schools are giving BYU five games in 2011 and four games in 2012.
Is it a gamble? It sure is. Do I think it's going to fail? I don't think it will fail. But it's also too soon to call it a success for sure.
Pencil it in as a win, and let's reexamine it in four years.
Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Tuesday's Quick Slant: Wild Rebel on Hold
Masoli, who transferred from Oregon after being booted off of the team by Chip Kelly, transferred to Ole Miss in the hopes of playing this season. Masoli still has a redshirt year that he can use, so he could be eligible in 2011.
The NCAA refused to waive the one year residency requirement for transfers. Masoli was appealing the requirement since he transferred to Ole Miss and enrolled in Parks and Recreation for his master's degree. Masoli received his bachelor's in sociology this summer from Oregon.
From the outside, and I'm just speculating and paraphrasing here, it appears that this is the message that the NCAA is delivering to Masoli:
"Congratulations on getting your bachelor's degree and enrolling in a master's program. But given your off the field transgressions of recent past and farther back (documented here in detail), it might be in your best interests to sit for a year and see if you can keep your nose clean and stay out of trouble. We are not going to allow you to game the system this year by utilizing this transfer exemption.
Because let's be frank, Jeremiah: If you hadn't been kicked off the Oregon team, you would not have gone to Ole Miss."
In other words: Child, please.
UPDATE: Here is a statement from the NCAA regarding Masoli:
NCAA issues waiver decision for Ole Miss student-athlete
The NCAA staff has granted a graduate student transfer waiver for University of Mississippi football student-athlete Jeremiah Masoli, but he must wait until the 2011-12 academic year to compete. Mr. Masoli can continue to pursue his academic career, is eligible to receive athletics aid, and may practice with the team.
In its decision, the staff noted the student-athlete was unable to participate at the University of Oregon based on his dismissal from the team, which is contrary to the intent of the waiver. The waiver exists to provide relief to student-athletes who transfer for academic reasons to pursue graduate studies, not to avoid disciplinary measures at the previous university.
According to NCAA rules, created by member schools, football graduate student-athletes must receive a waiver in order to compete if they enroll in a university other than where they received their undergraduate degree.
After receiving information from both universities and the student-athlete, the NCAA staff obtained the final piece of information yesterday evening from the University of Mississippi and issued its decision today. The university may appeal this staff decision to the Subcommittee for Legislative Relief, an independent group comprised of representatives from NCAA member colleges, universities and athletic conferences.
Monday, August 30, 2010
Monday's Quick Slant: Preseason Prognostications 2010
After months of talking about realignment and arrests and agents and investigations into shady living arrangements, the 2010 season kicks off on Thursday with a slate of games highlighted by a rematch of the 2005 Fiesta Bowl: Pittsburgh at Utah.
All I can say is: Thank goodness.
But, in advance of the start of the regular season, it's time to offer up some preseason prognostications for the division winners and the BCS title game:
ACC-Atlantic: Florida State
ACC-Coastal: Virginia Tech
ACC Champ: Virginia Tech
Big 12-South: Oklahoma
Big 12-North: Nebraska
Big 12 Champ: Oklahoma
Big East: Pittsburgh
Big Ten: Ohio State
C-USA-East: UCF
C-USA-West: Houston
C-USA Champ: Houston
MAC-East: Temple
MAC-West: Central Michigan
MAC Champ: Temple
MWC: TCU
Pac-10: Oregon State
SEC-East: Florida
SEC-West: Alabama
SEC Champ: Alabama
Sunbelt: Middle Tennessee
WAC: Boise State
BCS title game: Oklahoma wins over Ohio State
I also think Navy will finish with the best record of the three independent squads, but Army will make a bowl game at 6-6.
Additionally, I think Boise State loses two games this year. One of those losses will be to Idaho as a going away present from the Vandals.
Thursday, August 26, 2010
Maybe Superconferences weren't the wave of the future
After all, this marriage with the rest of the Big 12 is shotgun, at best, unless Dan Beebe can show the schools the money.
Tuesday, August 24, 2010
Michigan, Ohio State, and the Tradition Paradox
tra·di·tion\trə-ˈdi-shən\ noun
Tradition. It's a loaded word when it comes to life at colleges and universities. I've joked with some of my colleagues in higher education that if something happens two years in a row, it's considered a tradition by the students.
But the reason I'm bringing up the word tradition is the debate surrounding the Big Ten and what to do with Michigan and Ohio State's annual late November tilt.
It's not very often that one can find something that will bring Buckeyes and Wolverines together, but apparently the controversy surrounding splitting Ohio State and Michigan into separate divisions and possibly moving the rivalry game is galling enough to both sides to forge an almost unholy alliance against such a thing.
I'm a fan of a Somerset Maughm quote when it comes to thinking about the power of tradition. The quote is, "Tradition is a guide and not a jailer."
I'm not saying that traditions aren't important; they serve as cross-generational touchstones. They do have a significance in imparting a shared experience and concept.
But one should never become slaves to tradition, because then you are trapped.
Back when the season really did end with Michigan and Ohio State playing the last week of the season, it made sense.
But the sport has evolved and the culture of sport has evolved. With the addition of the 12th regular season game, and the creation of conference title games, the end of November has not been the end of the regular season in a long, long time.
Yes, "The Game" had the attention of the entire nation in 2006, and it was memorable. But that was a perfect storm situation because of the number one versus number two element (a first for the series, if I recall).
Does The Game really lose its luster if it moves to October 22 or November 8? Do Wolverines hate Buckeyes less or more because they're playing a month earlier? Do Buckeyes not want to beat the tar out of the Wolverines because there are still regular season games left?
Of course not. To me, and this is my own inherent bias, the vitriol for your most hated rival exists no matter when that game is played. It could be first game, it could be the last game on the schedule, it could be game seven of the season—I don't find the calendar to be that important.