Wednesday, March 17, 2010

Dear Seth Greenberg,

Really?

You're still asking questions about why your team got left out of the NCAA Tournament, huh?

You've even gone so far as to hire a statistician to crunch some numbers about last four in and last four out over the past decade to see what you can do to schedule better.

I can admire that on some level.

But if you want to know why you were left out this year, here's what you need to look at:

Brown 11-20
UNC Greensboro 8-23
@ Campbell 19-11
Temple 29-5 (loss)
Delaware 7-24
@ Iowa 10-22
Georgia 14-17
VMI 10-19
@ Penn State 11-20
Charleston Southern 13-17
UMBC 4-26
Longwood 12-19
(N) Seton Hall 19-12
North Carolina Central 7-22

Look at that list of teams. You played three sorry BCS programs, two Division 1 independents and a whole lot of subpar low major squads. Your best non-conference wins were Campbell and Seton Hall. You played one tournament team (Temple) and lost by 11 at home.

That's not going to get it done, Seth. That's how you wind up with a non-conference strength of schedule of 339 out of 347.

Now, let's look at Wake Forest. Wake got in. You beat Wake head to head in your one meeting this season on your home court by 4 points. Wake finished one game back of you in fifth place in the ACC and had 4 less wins than you overall.

Wake played:
Oral Roberts 20-13
East Carolina 10-21
High Point 15-15
Winston-Salem 12-17
William & Mary 22-10 (loss)
@ Purdue 27-5 (loss)
@ Gonzaga 26-6
Elon 9-23
@ North Carolina-Wilmington 9-22
@ UNC Greensboro 8-23
Richmond 26-8
Xavier 24-8

Wake played better opponents and actually beat teams that are in the NCAA tournament (Richmond, Xavier, Gonzaga).

I don't want to hear anymore about why you didn't get into the tournament. It seems simple to me, and I think that the research will bear it out:

You need to play better teams than you did this year. The schedule you crafted will not cut it. Maybe a Syracuse or a Duke could pull off that kind of schedule and be given the benefit of the doubt.

But if you're a Virginia Tech, you need to go out and play people. They don't all have to be power conference schools.

They can't be transitional D-1 members and the dregs of single bid conferences, either.

1 comment:

davep said...

A year later, same story, add in a victory over #1 Duke, and Hokies are left home again. Somebody is sabotaging Tech.